Service Plays Friday 04/03/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

FC Schalke 04 +105 (German Bundesliga)

Clermont Foot/Montpellier over 2 (France Ligue 2)

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#504 - NBA - 3 units on Indiana +4
#520 - NBA - 3 units on LA Lakers -5.5
#521 - NBA - 3 units on Oregon State +9

 

[number1fan]

Stephen Nover

NBA

San Antonio (-3.5 -110)

Idle since a shocking Tuesday home loss to the Thunder, expect to see the Spurs motivated and playing well against this weak Eastern Conference foe.

San Antonio is in danger of squandering home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Indiana isn't realistically in the playoff mix, trailing Chicago by 3 1/2 games. The Pacers have failed to cover in four of their last six games at Conseco Fieldhouse.

The key for the Spurs is Manu Ginobili. He's been looking better since returning a week ago. I don't see the Spurs losing twice in a row to bad teams.

Gregg Popovich may be the best coach with extra time to prepare. The Spurs realize the importance of this road matchup. They hold a strong talent and defensive edge.

----

Sacramento at Phoenix Under (243.5 -110)

This is one of the biggest totals of the season.

The oddsmaker has to set a larger than life total considering how potent the Suns are on offense, how weak the two defenses are and that the Kings lost 143-141 to the Warriors on Wednesday.

Still, this total is too high.

The Suns actually had their finest defense spell of the season in their last game holding the Rockets scoreless for 5:34 during the fourth quarter. They should be motivated to play some defense against the Kings after being upset by them Sunday, 126-118.

Sure, there are going to be a lot of points scored in this matchup. Just not this many. It would take four strong quarters to reach this high of a total. One bad quarter by one of the teams will throw off the 'over.'

----

Sacramento (+13 -110)

Even though this is a revenge spot for Phoenix and a must-win game for the Suns, the spread is too high considering the Suns' lack of defense, the situation and how well Sacramento has been playing lately.

In the Kings' last three games, they upset the Suns at home, lost to the Hornets by one point at home on a 3-point shot at the buzzer and lost by two in overtime to Golden State on the road.

A key for the Kings has been the return to health by underrated Francisco Garcia. He's looked excellent the past five games after missing substanial time with a calf injury.

The Kings are giving up 109 points per game, the Suns are surrendering 107 points. The Kings often are underpriced, especially when playing in division where they have covered 10 of the past 12 times.

Sacramento is a loose team with no pressure. The Suns are off a huge win against the Rockets. They play at Dallas on Sunday in a huge look-ahead game. If the Suns lose that game their long shot playoff hopes are dead.

----

Minnesota (+13 -110)

Utah is 3-15 straight-up when playing the second of back-to-back games. The Jazz also are 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Minnesota is 16-7-1 against the spread in its last 24 road games.

Jazz coach Jerry Sloan will be attending his brother's funeral and not at the game. The Jazz played at Denver last night and their next three games are on the road against the Hornets, Mavericks and Spurs.

So don't look for the Jazz to go all out in this matchup.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Baylor (-4) last night.

Today it's UTEP. The surplus is 170 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(501) MIAMI HEAT
(502) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Take "(502) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS"

The Bobcats have a really tough schedule to close the season, and that probably will keep them out of the playoffs. But they're definitely still in the hunt, and tonight's home game with Miami is absolutely crucial for Charlotte. They're in better form than the Heat right now, and with the line reasonably short, I have to lean the Bobcats way tonight.

 

[DINGOD]

fightingirishsportspicks.com

Bonus Play
new orleans -3

pay plays
1 hawks +6
1 portland -5.5
1 jazz -12.5

 

[backdoorcover1]

VERNON CROY SOLID TOP COMP PLAY

20 Units, Take San Antonio Under, The Spurs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA with opponents averaging just 93 ppg against them and the Spurs are only averaging 96.8 ppg overall this season. The last time these two teams met the posted total was 208.5 and the final total score was just 180 and I look for a similar result tonight. Both of these teams shot over 40% from beyond the arc in their last meeting and yet this game still went under the posted total by 28 points. The O/U is 2-8 for the Spurs in their last 10 games against a Central Division opponent and 0-4 for the Spurs in their last 4 games when favored on the road. The O/U is 1-11 for the Pacers in their last 12 home games and 1-6 in the Pacers last 7 games against a team with a winning record over .600. The O/U is 10-21 in the Spurs last 31 games as a road favorite of -0.5 to -4.5 points and the O/U is 0-7 for the Pacers in their last 7 home games as a dog. Take the Under as my Friday Night NBA Premium Bonus Play since this is my only play released for Friday.

 

[Ryangene]

The Real Animal
Pick title: 2* Oregon State +9
Pick Date: 04/03/2009
Pick description:
8-1 since Tuesday! Four premium plays tonight all backed by complete analysis

 

[Ryangene]

Smart Money
NBA
#507 Dallas


Smart Money
NBA
#509 Portland UNDER

 

[cocomandoug]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS....10 DIMER - HOUSTON ROCKETS
20 DIMER - PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS



The young Thunder appear to be about out of petrol as we head into the last few days of the regular season.



Oklahoma City has dropped 7 of their last 10 both straight up, and against the spread, and another SU and ATS loss is in the cards tonight against visiting Portland.



The Blazers are looking to improve their seeding, and Portland is going the other way on the wins/losses scale, as the Trail Blazers have won and covered their last 3, and have won 7 of their last 10 overall, while covering in 8 of those 10.



Portland won the last series meeting, 106-92 back in February, and I like the final to look similar tonight.



LAY IT!



10 DIMER - HOUSTON ROCKETS



Tricky spot for LA, as the Lakers are firmly locked into #1 in the West, but are 3 games behind Cleveland for the overall best record in the league, with time running out.



After 7 straight on the road, failing their last 3 against the spread, I would tend to think the Lakers will be a little flat in this first game back in the City of Angels.



Houston is in off a loss, and really need to step things up to improve their standing in the playoff picture.



The Rockets have covered 6 of their last 8 on the road, and I like them to cover in this one.



Take the points, as the Rockets give the Lakers a tussle.
Today's Complimentary Selection

Winner for free from the G-Man on Denver last night, now 8-2 my last 10 comp play selections.



G-Man expecting the Suns to return the favor at home tonight against the visiting Kings.

Sacto just handed Phoenix a crippling loss at the Arco Arena on Sunday, 126-118, as the Suns can ill-afford any more losses if they wish to make the playoffs this year.

Phoenix still owns a positive 7-3 spread mark their last 10 games, and they have been able to go 6-1 straight up the last 7 meetings against Sacramento, while covering in 4 of the last 6.

Sacramento is a dismal 2-9 straight up their last 11, and while they have covered their last 3 games plus the points, G-Man sees the Suns getting redemption for that Sunday clunker in onion-land with a blowout win tonight in the valley of the sun.

Lay the points.


5♦ PHOENIX
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CappersJungle
Clients; A nice way to start out April with a nice little 4-0 run putting us up $400.

We have 3 (5 dime) plays on the board tonight and we are very confident we will sweep the board for the 3rd straight night.

5 Dime Play MN Wild
$55 to win $50

5 Dime Play Charlotte Bobcats -4
$55 to win $50

5 Dime Play Utah Jazz -12.5
$55 to win $50

5 Dimes on the Minnesota Wild
There is one thing that we look at in handicapping towards the wrap-up of the season. Who is fighting for their lives to get in the playoffs, who has been doing the right things but not getting the breaks, Who’s Hot, Who’s not, and of course the history of the teams. The Wild fall into almost all of the above. They have been playing good hockey but have not been getting the breaks. Minnesota fell to the Canucks just a few days ago holding them without a single shot in the 3rd period but had a late wiff on a goal attempt in overtime and that lead to a goal on the other end of the ice. The wild have just converted 4 of their last 35 power plays, including 0-5 versus Vancouver. Those two trends the history is going to be on our side and must change. Calgary has won 10 of the last 11 match-ups and they have clinched a spot in the playoffs so don’t have as much to play for. Sure they can still get 1st in their division but they will be happy to be in the playoffs and worry about getting healthy to make a nice push. Minnesota’s main goal tonight will be keeping Iginla in check. In the 48 games that he has played in his career versus Minnesota he has 49 points (27goals and 22 assists). With priority #1 kept in check the Wild should have a prime opportunity to take this game at home. The wild have got back Marian Gaborik and it might be too late, however after returning on the 22nd of March he has 6 games now under his belt scoring 5 goals and getting 3 assists. Cappersjungle.com has this one going 3-2 tonight and a 5 dime winner on the Minnesota Wild.


5 Dimes on Charlotte Bobcats -4
Charlotte enters the game tonight at home versus Miami covering 4 straight games. The line has already moved in our favor opening at 4.5 and now already down to 4. Miami has been bad on the road it past 7 games losing 6 of those. They however have had some very close games losing by 2,2,5,8, and 4. Charlotte trails Chicago in the Eastern Conference standings and is in desperate need of wins in their final 7 games. The schedule makers were not kind to them at all to close it out so if they are going to make a playoff push it must start tonight. Miami is just 3-7 overall and 13-24 on the road. In the past 9 meetings with these two teams Miami is 2-7 in covering. All signs point to a Charlotte win, a Charlotte cover and a 96-88 point game with victory going to the bobcats. 5 Dime winner from CappersJungle.com on your Charlotte Bobcats.


5 Dimes on Utah Jazz -12.5
Right now 58% of the public is pounding the line on Utah at -12.5. A team that has been so streaky the past couple of games. Utah gave up a huge lead to New York a few nights ago and almost blew the game, however they escaped with a win. They played Denver last night and took a nice early lead but again blew that one and lost. One thing that won’t happen tonight is they won’t blow the lead versus the timber-puppies. Utah is looking for some key wins to position themselves in the western conference. They are 8-2 on games on Friday. The odds makers have not got a good grasp on the Timberwolves at all this year. They have them underdogs by 1 point and they lose by 23, they have them favored by 4 and they win by 14. As for Utah they have not covered a game for the past 5 games. They have not went this year at all not covering the spread in 6 games at all, another reason that we are on the right side of the game. With Big Al still out for the season the Wolves are not match up for the Jazz even with Love, Gomes, Telfair and a questionable Foye tonight. Cappersjungle.com says that the Jazz get back into the covering column tonight and score a 5 Dime Winner.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Million Dollar Parlay + Friday Premium NBA

Michigan St & North Carolina parlay
Portland premium

Must go 3-0 or 1 week free
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GamblersWorld

Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NCAA Basketball

Game: 10:00PM CBI: Oregon State Beavers vs. Texas El Paso Miners

Prediction: Texas El Paso Miners

Current Line: -9

Over/Under: 134

Reason: The Oregon State Beavers and the Texas El Paso Miners will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Haskins Center in the final game of the CBI tournament's championship series.

Oddsmakers currently have the Miners listed as 9-point favorites versus the Beavers, while the game's total is sitting at 134.

UTEP dominated the second half and rallied to defeat Oregon State 70-63 on Wednesday night, forcing a final game in the CBI championship series. That game's 133 points fell UNDER the posted total of 134.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Bonus Play

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Oreg St/ Utep Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Oregon St
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Spurs
Thunder
Sacramento

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->College Basketball Invitational
Championship Series Game #3, Best-of-Three
at El Paso, TX
UTEP 70, Oregon State 63
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->NEW JERSEY 4, Tampa Bay 2
PHILADELPHIA 4, Toronto 3
WASHINGTON 4, Buffalo 3
FLORIDA 4, Atlanta 3
Calgary vs. MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CHICAGO 3, Nashville 2
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->CHARLOTTE 95, Miami 90
San Antonio vs. INDIANA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BOSTON 99, Atlanta 90
Dallas 100, MEMPHIS 94
Portland 100, OKLAHOMA CITY 95
ORLANDO 96, Cleveland 92
UTAH 110, Minnesota 95
PHOENIX 120, Sacramento 107
New Orleans 107, GOLDEN STATE 105
L.A. LAKERS 104, Houston 96
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